Wednesday, December 9, 2009

Forecast: Online Will Take More Ad Dollars Than Newspapers By 2015

http://paidcontent.org/article/419-forecast-online-will-take-more-ad-dollars-than-newspapers-by-2015/
The net was the only medium to attract more money in 2009 in Zenith’s figures, though its growth curve is flatter than the early-2000s heyday growth of 40+ percent a year. It’s now on track for more modest but consistent growth pace of 9.5 percent (2010), 12 percent (2011) and 13 percent (2012), in line with that of TV, which will remain the dominant medium.

While those two media will go on attracting more money up to 2012, all others are flat or in decline. Though newspapers now enjoy a 10.9 percent lead over the internet for share of ad dollars, the lead will slim to just 3.8 percent by 2012, when the internet will take 16.2 percent of all spend.

Zenith says: “We expect the internet to overtake newspapers to become the world’s second-largest advertising medium by the time we are half-way through the next decade.”